Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Week 12 Picks

Took a much needed bye week last week. Jen and I moved again, this time to a 2 bedroom apartment in the same complex. Jen also had the baby shower this past weekend and I will like to thank everyone for all the great stuff the lil one and her proud parents will enjoy. A special thank you to Jen's sister Tammy for organizing the party.

Last week ended up with a 14-2 record, but it still was not enough to win the office pool. Although I was in it on Monday night, I had too many points for the tiebreaker. At least I moved up in the overall standings as I am one behind the leader. Enough of that let's get to the picks of week 12.

New England (8-2) 34 @ Detroit (2-8) 21
The annual Turkey day in Detroit. This year the Lions face Tom Brady and the Pats. The Lions will have one thing going for them in this game and that is their awesome throwback unis. Detroit has loss 6 straight games on Thanksgiving, ironically their last victory was in '03 against the New England Patriots. I think the Patriots continues the losing streak for the Lions on Turkey Day.

New Orleans (7-3) 27 @ Dallas (3-7) 17
I know Fox had their chops licking in the beginning of the season having this game on Thanksgiving. Then the 'Boys crapped out to start the season making this game less appealing. But in the past 2 weeks the Cowboys are undefeated under their new coach. Will that continue against the resurgent Saints? On a side note I will like to give a huge FU to Sean Payton and Drew Brees for causing a crushing defeat in my fantasy last week. The Saints were up 34-19 with 36 seconds left and were inside the 20 on a 4th & 6, Brees dropped back to pass for a touchdown and threw an interception to the one DB I was facing causing a one point defeat. It also cost my team high score for the week ($75) and now the team that beat us has the tiebreaker for the playoffs. I actually wouldn't be surprise if the Cowboys walk away with a victory. The football gods frown upon on running up the score.

Cincinnati (2-8) 9 @ New York Jets (8-2) 20
The Bengals are a hot mess right now, letting the Bills come back and score 5 Tds in the 2nd half. Just a disgrace. The Jets aren't winning perfectly but they are winning. In the last 3 games alone- Santonio Holmes has either scored or set up the Game Winning score. Him and Sanchez have been really fun to watch these past couple of weeks. The Jets fans have at least lost a year of their lives due to the high stress level their team has played. T.O. is an idiot. First off after the game last week he just kept saying embarrassment (had every right to) but also stated that he doesn't have a sound byte. T.O. THAT IS A SOUND BYTE you dope. And now he is calling out Revis by saying he is an average player. Umm didn't they faced each other twice last season. Owens stats for the two games were 6 rec for 44 yards. Just keep talking Owens.

Green Bay (7-3) 21 @ Atlanta (8-2) 24
The Game of the Week is in Hotlanta. The Packers D has been playing phenomenal has of late. Holding their last three opponents to 10 points (Jets-0, Cowboys-7, Vikings-3). The Falcons though are a different story. I have been saying that the Falcons are the best team in the NFC now and this game will most certainly prove that. A Green Bay victory will be huge for them as they will hold the tiebreaker with both Atlanta and Philadelphia. But as the new rule in the gambling manifesto is to never bet against Matty Ice at home, Dirty Birds in this one.

Pittsburgh (7-3) 31 @ Buffalo (2-8) 17
Well the Bills lil winning streak was fun while it lasted. The Steelers are coming off a monster game against the Raiders and will be looking to continue that ass whooping mentality in Buffalo this week.

Carolina (1-9) 6 @ Cleveland (3-7) 13
What's up with Cleveland QBs and their ankles. Colt McCoy injured his ankle to become the 3rd QB to do so in Cleveland. And because of that Jake Delhoumme gets the start for the Browns. I just can't select the Panthers in this one, they are just a bad football team this year.

Jacksonville (6-4) 13 @ New York Giants (6-4) 17
The gift that just keeps on giving. Eli Manning fumbling AGAIN (he also did last year against the Eagles) going head first instead of sliding. The turnovers (30 in all) are finally catching up to them. The Jags are riding the hot hand lately but I don't see it continuing in Jersey. The Giants D will win this game for them. Eli will need to carry the offense in this one and with a depleted O-line and receiving core.

Minnesota (3-7) 24 @ Washington (5-5) 17
Not picking the 'Skins last week is what doomed me from winning the office pool. I should have known McNabb will bounce back as he always does after a horrific performance. The Vikings fired Childress over the week but are still going with the old man as their QB. Please put in Jackson Frazier. I see the Vikings players playing hard in this one just like the 'Boys did when Phillips was fired. Washington is too beat up on the Defensive side of the ball and that is what is going to hurt them in this contest.

Tennessee (5-5) 10 @ Houston (4-6) 27
Add the Titans to the long list of drama teams this season. I thought Houston was going to be a different team this year, but as always they can't close it out when needed. I'm going with the more experienced QB in this one.

Kansas City (6-4) 20 @ Seattle (5-5) 17
The battle of the West division leaders. Hasselbeck has been playing well lately and being at home will definitely have an advantage on the Chiefs. But I still like KC in this one.

Miami (5-5) 13 @ Oakland (5-5) 21
Thigpen just looked lost all game against the Bears last week and the 'Fins running game has been lost all season. The Raiders will bounce back with a strong running performance from McFadden.

St. Louis (4-6) 10 @ Denver (3-7) 20
The toughest game to pick this week. The Broncos will need to win sometime and I think this is their best chance. The only reason why for the pick is because they are at home.

Philadelphia (7-3) 24 @ Chicago (7-3) 17
Along with Atlanta and Green Bay, this is an important game for the NFC playoff picture. Vick actually looked human last week against a tough Giants D. The Bears definitely studied that game film and will try to replicate what they did. The Eagles though need to score Touchdowns when they get turnovers. Scoring only FG's kept the Giants in the game last week. Vick is on the cover of SI this week, which I gotta say irks me because of the all jinx thing. This should be an interesting matchup but of course I see the Birds coming out on top.

Tampa Bay (7-3) 10 @ Baltimore (7-3) 24
Josh Freeman will be tested in this one. Tampa had been winning games but they have been against inferior opponents. Now they will come into Maryland to face one of the toughest teams in the NFL. I think the Ravens are too much to handle for the Bucs in this one as they begin to fall back down to Earth.

San Diego (5-5) 21 @ Indianapolis (6-4) 34
Never bet against Peyton in primetime and especially after a loss he gave away himself. Pissed off Manning is not a guy you want to mess with.

San Francisco (3-7) 24 @ Arizona (3-7) 13
With Seattle losing this week, the victor of this game will be 1 game back in the division. Crazy that one of these teams from the NFC west is making the playoffs.

And to wrap up this weeks blog I will like to give some random thanks for the holiday.

First off I will like to thank my beautiful fiance for everything she has done for me. You are an amazing person Jen and you will be a more amazing mother.

To my family and friends, I don't know where I will be if it weren't for the love and support I get from y'all. Thank you.

Last but not least to the Veterans who fought and are fighting for freedom across the globe. This is something that the average American takes for granted not knowing the sacrifices made by the Brave. Thank you all.

Last week: 14-2

Season: 103-57

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

NFL Week 10

Baltimore (6-2) 17 @ Atlanta (6-2) 20
The Game of the Week here. Let the Thursday games begin. I hate these games for the simple fact that I got to hand my picks in earlier than usual. Possibly the best teams in their respected conferences face off in the Georgia Dome. The battle between the 2008 QB rookies, who are the only two NFL QB rookies to win a playoff game. This could also be a preview for the Super Bowl. Michael Turner has been hot as of late and the Falcons will need that to continue here. Same goes for Rutgers Alum Ray Rice for the Ravens. There is a new rule in the gambling book and that is never bet against Matty Ice at home.

Detroit (2-6) 21 @ Buffalo (0-8) 24
Is this the week Buffalo finally gets a win? Has Stafford's entire contract money gone to his doctor who keeps repairing his shoulder? Tough break for the young fellow who will most likely be out for the rest of this season. Word is that this tear is worse than the one earlier in the season. Shaun Hill is still hurting but might be able to play. I'm doubting that he will. That means Drew Stanton will get the start. The deck has been dealt for the Bills for their first victory this season.

Minnesota (3-5) 27 @ Chicago (5-3) 17
With Green Bay on their bye, this is the week for Minnesota to pull within two games of the division lead. I'm tired of the praising of Brett Favre for his 446 yd career day. That game shouldn't have been that close first of all and the reason why it was that close was because of Favre. I honestly believe that Jackson gives this team the better chance to win. Pull the trigger on the old man Childress and show some guts in that locker room. But we all know that is not going to happen. This game could possibly be a record for most interceptions thrown.

New York Jets (6-2) 34 @ Cleveland (3-5) 17
What a game played by the Browns last week. The Mangenius beating Belichick must have felt good. Now he will face his old team this week. And not only that the Ryan brothers will be facing each other. Classic press conference by Rex yesterday dressing up like his brother. Colt McCoy looks like he is the guy of the future for Cleveland. Maybe he is the one and not LeBron to bring a championship to a city desperately need of one in whatever sport. I think with such a close call in Detroit last week, Rex is calling for an ass whooping. I think his players will respond.

Cincinnati (2-6) 20 @ Indianapolis (5-3) 23
Gotta say, Manning had me worry a lil bit at the end of the Birds game last week. Its a rarity when his squad loses two in a row. As for Cincy, it only seems that T.O. is the only one showing up on offense these days. They did fought back last week against Pittsburgh but fell short in the end. The Bengals just don't have it this year.

Tennessee (5-3) 28 @ Miami (4-4) 24
Chad Henne take a seat. Chad Pennington has been given the chance to start since his shoulder injury last year. Miami is a good team this year but are not beating teams that are better than them. Tennessee is one of those teams. Interested to see what they have for store in Randy Moss and how much will Chris Johnson's game open up because of it. It's still up in the air if Young is starting or not. Either way I like the Titans in this one.

Carolina (1-7) 6 @ Tampa Bay (5-3) 31
Josh Freeman is human in the 4th quarter after all. Amazing how Tampa is playing this year and after a tough loss in Atlanta, the Panthers are the right remedy to get their confidence back on track. Clausen gets the start in this one as Matt Moore was put on the injured reserve list.

Houston (4-4) 34 @ Jacksonville (4-4) 24
The battle of staying out of last place in the AFC South. Houston has been an up and down team all year, actually the past couple of years. The Jags are coming of their bye while the Texans are coming off a crushing defeat against a depleted Charger team. It was a tough break as Houston was driving down the field for the go ahead TD and a pass intended for Andre Johnson was in his hands but fell out and ricochet off his leg to a Charger defender to seal the game. Jacksonville will need to contain Arian Foster to be in this one.

Kansas City (5-3) 24 @ Denver (2-6) 14
The Chiefs need a victory here to keep the division lead. Denver just needs a win period. Dwayne Bowe has been playing great as of late, but when it came down to it last week he didn't catch the most important ball thrown to him to seal the game in Oakland. I can actually see the Broncos winning this game but I think the running game of KC is going to be too much for them.

Dallas (1-7) 13 @ New York Giants (6-2) 31
I can't believe I will be pulling for the Cowboys in this one. Actually I kinda want them to win a few more games (just not against the Birds) to avoid the 1st pick overall in next year's draft. The Giants are probably the hottest team in the NFL right now. The only question in this game is whether or not the Cowboys actually show up. I think Giant fans wanted that Wade Phillips firing a week later.

Seattle (4-4) 13 @ Arizona (3-5) 20
NFC West matchup. Picking the home team.

St. Louis (4-4) 17 @ San Francisco (2-6) 27
NFC West matchup. Picking the home team. It's amazing how it is possible the 49ers can be 1 game back at the end of the day on Sunday. Troy Smith should get the start and also should be the starter for the rest of the year. It really hurt writing that sentence. But let's face it he is better than the two #1 overall picks on their roster.

New England (6-2) 13 @ Pittsburgh (6-2) 17
Four 6-2 teams in the AFC and one of them at least will drop to 3 losses. New England's defense just got expose in Cleveland. Normally I wouldn't pick against them because Brady just doesn't lose games back to back. But this is big task for them to win at Pittsburgh.

Philadelphia (5-3) 28 @ Washington (4-4) 10
The annual Monday Night Football between these two teams. Finally get to see the much anticipated McNabb vs. Vick hopefully for the all game. Philadelphia dominated the Colts last week but weren't able to throw the Knockout punch as they had to settle for FGs three times when they were inside the 10. They had to fight til the end for the victory. The 'Skins are coming off their bye. McNabb did just enough to win the game that was played in Philadelphia. I don't think that is happening in this one though.


Green Bay- Who are they pulling for in the Minnesota vs. Chicago game?

Oakland- Rest is much needed, but I don't think the Raiders want it with the way they have been playing.

New Orleans- Ready to start looking like the Saints for the the 2nd half.

San Diego- No other team needs this bye as much as the Chargers do.

Last Week- 10-3

Season- 82-48

Thursday, November 4, 2010

NFL Week 9 Picks

Tampa Bay (5-2) 17 @ Atlanta (5-2) 28
Who would've thought that this game will be a battle for the division lead this late in the season. Atlanta is coming off the bye, whereas Tampa is coming off another exciting finish. Josh Freeman has 6 (out of 8 wins) comeback victories in his short career of 16 games. That's a pretty amazing stat that shows how mentally tough of a kid he is. The highlight of the week comes from the courtesy of rookie LeGarrate Blount. If that name sounds familiar it's because he is the Oregon Duck who got suspended for sucker punching a Boise State player in the face after the game. Matt Ryan has a near perfect record at home of 16-1. Hotlanta fans definitely get their money's worth with him under center. Because of that record I'm picking Atlanta to win here and ground the Bucs back to Earth.

Chicago (4-3) 10 @ Buffalo (0-7) 13 {Game being played in Toronto}
The Bills have been fighting to the end in the past couple weeks. Played 5 quarters in KC last week and another OT game in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. Are they going to be gassed out? Meanwhile the Bears are coming off a much needed bye. Hopefully Martz has come up with something to protect Cutler and to get Forte the ball more. I would definitely pick the Bills if this game was being played in their own confides of Ralph Wilson Stadium with confidence. But I am unsure of how this one is going to played out in Toronto. In the end, I think the Bills get their first victory of the season by putting pressure on Cutler and forcing him to make mistakes.

New England (6-1) 38 @ Cleveland (2-5) 17
The Master and Apprentice at it again. I think the bye came to Cleveland when they didn't want it. They were on fire against the Saints the other week and I loved the fake punt call. That tells your team we are here to win this game. New England is a different story and Tom Brady won't throw 4 Ints like Brees did in that game.

New York Jets (5-2) 27 @ Detroit (2-5) 17
The Jets offense was just horrible last week against the Pack. And that 4th and 18 fake punt call- I gotta say I love the guts and trust in the D to do that. For a second I thought Weatherford got to the first down marker, but unfortunately the Packers challenge and the his foot went out of bounds inches away for the 1st down. Megatron, Calvin Johnson, just ripped it up last week against the 'Skins with a bum shoulder. 9 catches for 101 yds and 3tds. This week will be a lot tougher for him as Revis Island is healthy and mix that with a bum shoulder, he just might be contain this week.

New Orleans (5-3) 31 @ Carolina (1-6) 13
Are they Saints finally over their Super Bowl hangover? A nice win against the Steelers on Halloween night, as the New Orleans crowd set a Guinness Book of Record with the most people in one building in costume. I thought Carolina was going to win last week in St. Louis to ride the confidence wave from their victory against the 'Niners. They are just a bad team and the Saints will handle them as they will ride the confidence the wave for a while as their schedule is cake after their bye. Seattle, @ Dallas (on Thanksgiving), @ Cincy, St. Louis. I don't see them losing any of these games, but then again I didn't think they would've lost to the Browns.

Miami (4-3) 22 @ Baltimore (5-2) 24
Nice bye for Baltimore as the Steeler loss put them back into first place in their division. Miami is 4-0 on the road and 0-3 at home. This will be a tough road game for the Fins, but they can still pull it out. This is more of a must win for the Fins- for them to keep pace with Jets and Pats. They will come out a fighting, but the Ravens always welcome one- especially in their house.

San Diego (3-5) 31 @ Houston (4-3) 38
Two of the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde (along with the Seahawks) teams in the NFL face off each other. You just don't know which team will show up with these two. This game should light up the scoreboard, and I have the feeling of whoever has the ball last is going to win this one.

Arizona (3-4) 17 @ Minnesota (2-5) 21
Way to waste a 3rd round draft pick Vikings. Pats fans are in glee right now as they rob another draft pick. Word is Moss ranted about a Mom & Pop restaurant and the team was embarrass by his actions, thus being the main reason for waiving him. You think Wisenhunt regrets letting go of Leinhert? How much worse can he be than Derek Anderson and Max Hall? I also wonder if the Vikings will have a better record with Jackson under center this year. And where has Mullet Head Jared Allen been all season? Minnesota is a mess right now, but so is 'Zona. I just think the Vikings are to talented of a team to lose to the Cardinals at home.

New York Giants (5-2) 17 @ Seattle (4-3) 6
11 is the number of false starts the Gmen had during their last trip to Seattle. 4-6 is their week after the bye record in the past 1o years. 1981 is the last time the Giants actually won a game in Seattle. Take into account the fact the Seahawks were an AFC West team and these two hardly played in the 80s and early 90s. The 'Hawks are undefeated at home this year. Can the 12th man be an effect to the opposing team here. Giving the fact that when the words Super Bowl and Giants get into the same sentence during the season they tend to fall. I think the front seven causes havoc on Hasselbeck and the Giants get their first victory in Seattle in nearly 30 years. If Seattle has any chance in this one it will be because of Special Teams. Charlie Whitehurst getting the starting nod due to a concussion Hasslbeck sustain last week in Oakland. The front 7 will really have a field day now.

Indianapolis (5-2) 24 @ Philadelphia (4-3) 28
11-0 is the record for Andy Reid coming back after a bye. Unfortunately he doesn't have a perfect record given 2 weeks to prepare, as he lost the biggest game of them all in the '04 Super Bowl. 2 weeks is exactly what the Birds need to prepare for Peyton Manning. The Colts just man handled their division foes on Monday night. Meanwhile Michael Vick takes back the starting job for the Eagles. He stated earlier this week that he will have to run smarter. How will this reflect his game? DeSean Jackson has been practicing the past two days and was cleared from the 3rd party neurologist. So I'm thinking he is in, but will not return punts and probably won't be going over the middle of the field that often. Reid's after the bye record stays perfect in this one.

Kansas City (5-2) 24 @ Oakland (4-4) 31
The game of the week, as the two rushing powerhouses face off. Can Oakland close the gap on the Chiefs or is Kansas City going to widen it a little bit more. Whoever stops the run is going to be the victor in this game. Oakland has surpassed the 500 yd mark in each of its past two games for the first time in history. KC played a hard fought game against Buffalo that took a FG to win it as time expired in OT. I'm riding the hot hand in this one and picking Da Raiders to inch closer to the division lead.

Dallas (1-6) 20 @ Green Bay (5-3) 41
Roy Williams has to have the quote of the week. "We can go nine in a row, if you ask me. People can call me stupid or whatever, but this football team has the core of players, it has the supporting cast of players to win nine in row. We just got to get it started just for other players to be like, 'All right, we got it now.' It would be a great storybook ending. It would be awesome. I don't know if they'd put us in the Hall of Fame for that if this [team] was going to go on and win the Super Bowl, but it's a tough feat to cross. But if there is any team in the league that can do it, it's the Dallas Cowboys." How delusional is he. This team is playing with no heart, no spark, and worst of all no intelligence. By this quote Green Bay should watch out because the Cowboys are going to finally start their season. The Packers won a gut it out win in the Meadowlands against Gang Green. I think the offense is itching to find the end zone in this one and what better way to show how good of an offense they are then on Sunday Night Football.

Pittsburgh (5-2) 17 @ Cincinnati (2-5) 10
A must win for the Bengals in this one. Looked like the Steelers were going to pull that one out last Sunday but then Heath Miller fumbles the ball. Just a tough break, but hey that's football- sometimes the ball just bounces the other way. Cincinnati did a good job keeping the 'Fins out of the end zone, but were shut down in the 2nd half. I don't see the Steelers losing 2 in a row, especially in back to back national televise games.


Denver (2-6)- Denver is just hoping that this is just the opposite of last season. Meaning they will end with a 6 game winning streak instead of starting out with one.

Tennessee (5-3)- Just sitting back and relaxing this week becoming Eagles fans for the week. Oh and gives Moss an extra week to get used his 3rd playbook this season.

St. Louis (4-4)- One of the bright surprises this year. Can they come back and win the Wild Weak West. It's possible.

San Francisco (2-6)- Both the Rams and Niners will be New York football Giant fans this week. Now with baseball over, the Niners better improve their play as all eyes are on them in San Fran.

Washington (4-4)- I still can't grasp the idea of putting in Rex in that situation. Now the question is Where will McNabb be under center next year? My bet is Arizona.

Jacksonville (4-4)- Garrard saved his job with that performance in Dallas.

Last Week: 9-4

Season: 72-45